Odds Shark’s odds calculator is a great tool to help translate who will win the 2020 election into implied probabilities. Biden 53.49 Trump 51.22

https://www.oddsshark.com/politics/2020-usa-presidential-odds-futures

#oddsshark

The voluminous amount of polling data shared by the media all but guaranteed Hillary Clinton would win the presidency and she didn’t.

Donald Trump flipped the script with the biggest political upset in history and if you were one of the select few who saw value on oddsboards in the days leading up to the November 2016 election, a significant profit could be made.

Trump’s odds to win the 2016 election were near 5-to-1 the day before the election.

What Do the Numbers Mean?

For those new to 2020 election odds, the numbers can be a little confusing.

Odds Shark’s odds calculator is a great tool to help translate who will win the 2020 election into implied probabilities.

For example,

at -115, Joe Biden’s implied probability to win the 2020 election would be 53.49 percent and

President Trump’s at -105 odds would be 51.22 percent.

Trump had -180 odds, or 64.29 percent implied probability, to win the election during the last week of February.

Heartbreaker

The facts are the following, Europe has done 28 percent worse than the United States in excess mortality

“You have to know what you’re talking about”

https://reason.com/2020/09/09/is-the-u-s-handling-the-covid-19-pandemic-better-than-europe/

The Newshour interviewer then went on to point out that “America’s record is much worse than other countries, 4 percent of the world’s population, a quarter of the confirmed Covid-19 cases and deaths.”

(Atlas’ response was scathing) You know what that’s a completely incorrect assessment of what’s happening.

The only really legitimate way to compare countries is, if you really want to get down to it, it’s something that most epidemiologists understand.

And that is something called excess mortality.

And what that means is comparing deaths this year, during the pandemic, compared to your baseline, your country’s baseline.

And the facts are the following, Europe has done 28 percent worse than the United States in excess mortality. No one talks about this.

This is a quantitative appropriate epidemiologic criterion here, excess mortality.

It’s really sort of, again, an example of how a sloppy thinking and really amateurish thinking has somehow come to the fore here.

This is not a political issue. You have to use the facts.

When you read the data you have to know what you’re talking about when you make a statement like that.

#SARSCoV2 #ExcessMortality

Excess mortality is a term used in epidemiology and public health that refers to the number of deaths above and beyond what we would have expected to see under ‘normal’ conditions.

It is used to measure the mortality impact of a crisis when not all causes of death are known.

“The vast majority of potentially billions of citizens fated to receive the Moderna vaccine are not forewarned” - "I have a severe anaphylactic response to PEG"

“The vast majority of potentially billions of citizens fated to receive the Moderna vaccine are not forewarned”

https://childrenshealthdefense.org/news/a-dangerous-inactive-ingredient/

A Dangerous Inactive Ingredient

Editorial by Harold R. Gielow, LtCol USMC (Ret.)

Safety considerations are obvious, but efficacy could be enhanced by slightly altering the protocols for participants with anti-PEG antibodies.

The main efficacy concern is accelerated blood clearance due to the body’s defenses recognizing the PEG antigen.

It would be helpful to quantify at what titers, or levels, of Anti-PEG Antibody accelerated blood clearance becomes a problem.

As #Moderna has stated the proven fact that a high percentage of the population having anti #PEG antibodies is “hypothetical,” and they are not screening for it, this is another missed opportunity.

It was certainly taken into account during the trial of another vaccine that used an #Adenovirus as the carrier, so such trial procedures are not unusual.

I am not anti-vaccine. I am pro safe, effective vaccines.

It seems some basic safety and efficacy risk mitigation procedures are being ignored.

This oversight appears to be intentional as Moderna’s own scientists have made note of the problem.

I have a severe anaphylactic response to PEG. Luckily, I identified it and had it confirmed by Johns Hopkins. I am forewarned.

But the vast majority of potentially billions of citizens fated to receive the Moderna vaccine are not forewarned.

How many will be injured because Moderna failed to investigate a dangerous “inactive” ingredient?

#SARSCoV2

We Offer Praises [Split Trax]

Into The Labyrinth

Dead Can Dance - “I suppose the best way to explain her approach to the human voice as an instrument is in a sense speaking in tongues as opposed to any particular tongue”

https://echoes.org/2012/12/10/the-ritual-and-rapture-of-dead-can-dance/

“I suppose the best way to explain her approach to the human voice as an instrument is in a sense speaking in tongues as opposed to any particular tongue”

https://open.spotify.com/album/7qFVhIYSBUVxq4o6IcCP5f

https://www.youtube.com/playlist?list=OLAK5uy_nDeORep183pLFxmv-7RHyc8Rup9CzRupc

#unido #deadcandance